Stochastic Nature of Physical Parameterizations in Ensemble Prediction: A Stochastic Convection Approach
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Stochastic forcing , ensemble prediction systems , and TIGGE
Many operational NWP centres now produce global medium-range (≤ 14 day) and higher-resolution, limited-area, shorter-range (≤ 3 day) ensemble forecasts. These provide probabilistic guidance and early warning of the likelihood of high-impact weather. There are two main challenges in the design of ensemble prediction systems: (1) properly simulating the initial condition uncertainty, including th...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Monthly Weather Review
سال: 2008
ISSN: 1520-0493,0027-0644
DOI: 10.1175/2007mwr1870.1